Ryan Burnett

OSU @ Purdue: Purdue are -9 point favorites in this game, which seems a bit steep at first glance. But upon closer inspection Purdue has won every single home game they’ve played this year by double digits. Their last two wins (a 15 point win over West Virginia and a 19 point W over Minnesota) were particularly impressive. Add to that the fact that OSU has lost three road games in a row, all against conference opponents (Minnesota, Michigan, and Wisconsin), all by 9 points or more, and all to teams worse than the Boilermakers. Bottom line? You are getting Purdue at a steal because they are just coming off of their first loss of the season. Take em’.

Penn State @ Illinois: Don’t have nearly as strong of an opinion about this matchup. The Nittany Lions are -8.5 dogs to Illinois. I like Illini to win this one cuz they’ve been solid at home (9-1), and the Nittany Lions aren’t great (8-7, 0-3). But I wouldn’t touch this spread, because the Lions might only be 1-2 on the road but they have yet to lose one by more than 3 points. I dont feel great about it, but the Nittany Lions at +8.5 is good value. Remember for the favorite to cover they generally have to play well and the dog has to struggle. If either one of those two things doesn’t happen the dog usually manages to cover. Take PSU ATS.

Ryan’s Record: 0-0